Trader sentiment for Milan's highest temperature on March 26 remains tightly clustered around 11-15°C due to ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime highs of 12-14°C amid a cool northerly air mass over the Po Valley. Recent 00Z runs show slight downward revisions from earlier warmer outliers, boosting odds for 12°C (17.5%) and 13°C (18.0%) as mean forecasts converge near historical late-March averages of 13°C, with standard deviations of 3-4°C. Differentiating factors include persistent low-level clouds capping warmth versus potential clear skies allowing 15°C+ spikes, though model spread reflects high uncertainty at D-7 range; watch 12Z updates from Italian Met Service for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on March 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 26?
13°C 19%
12°C 19%
14°C 17%
11°C 17%
8°C or below
16%
9°C
16%
10°C
16%
11°C
17%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C
11%
18°C or higher
17%
13°C 19%
12°C 19%
14°C 17%
11°C 17%
8°C or below
16%
9°C
16%
10°C
16%
11°C
17%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C
11%
18°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Milan's highest temperature on March 26 remains tightly clustered around 11-15°C due to ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime highs of 12-14°C amid a cool northerly air mass over the Po Valley. Recent 00Z runs show slight downward revisions from earlier warmer outliers, boosting odds for 12°C (17.5%) and 13°C (18.0%) as mean forecasts converge near historical late-March averages of 13°C, with standard deviations of 3-4°C. Differentiating factors include persistent low-level clouds capping warmth versus potential clear skies allowing 15°C+ spikes, though model spread reflects high uncertainty at D-7 range; watch 12Z updates from Italian Met Service for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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