Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 16-19°C for Milan's highest temperature on March 25, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air. Recent model updates, including ECMWF's deterministic run at 18°C and GFS ensembles averaging 17°C, have narrowed the spread, boosting probabilities for 18-19°C over cooler 16-17°C outcomes, while urban heat island effects in Milan could add 1-2°C above rural readings. Differentiating factors include varying cloud cover predictions—clearer skies favor higher temps—and jet stream waviness introducing uncertainty, with historical late-March averages near 14°C underscoring the mild anomaly. Key watch: afternoon soundings for instability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 25. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 25. März?
18°C 22%
17°C 20%
16°C 19%
19°C 18%
12°C oder weniger
2%
13°C
14%
14°C
16%
15°C
17%
16°C
19%
17°C
20%
18°C
22%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C
12%
22°C oder höher
6%
18°C 22%
17°C 20%
16°C 19%
19°C 18%
12°C oder weniger
2%
13°C
14%
14°C
16%
15°C
17%
16°C
19%
17°C
20%
18°C
22%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C
12%
22°C oder höher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 16-19°C for Milan's highest temperature on March 25, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air. Recent model updates, including ECMWF's deterministic run at 18°C and GFS ensembles averaging 17°C, have narrowed the spread, boosting probabilities for 18-19°C over cooler 16-17°C outcomes, while urban heat island effects in Milan could add 1-2°C above rural readings. Differentiating factors include varying cloud cover predictions—clearer skies favor higher temps—and jet stream waviness introducing uncertainty, with historical late-March averages near 14°C underscoring the mild anomaly. Key watch: afternoon soundings for instability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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