Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 11°C as Ankara's highest temperature on March 21, driven by converged short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs peaking at 52°F (11°C) amid cloudy skies and northerly winds capping warmth. Historical March data shows Ankara's averages around 10-12°C, aligning with this positioning during a cool early-spring pattern influenced by continental polar air masses. Realistic challenges include a sudden southerly wind shift or model underestimation of insolation, potentially pushing highs to 12-13°C, though ensemble probabilities assign near-zero odds to such deviations given stable upper-air patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on March 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 21?
11°C 99.8%
12°C <1%
13°C or higher <1%
$149,895 Vol.
$149,895 Vol.
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99.8%
12°C <1%
13°C or higher <1%
$149,895 Vol.
$149,895 Vol.
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 11°C as Ankara's highest temperature on March 21, driven by converged short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs peaking at 52°F (11°C) amid cloudy skies and northerly winds capping warmth. Historical March data shows Ankara's averages around 10-12°C, aligning with this positioning during a cool early-spring pattern influenced by continental polar air masses. Realistic challenges include a sudden southerly wind shift or model underestimation of insolation, potentially pushing highs to 12-13°C, though ensemble probabilities assign near-zero odds to such deviations given stable upper-air patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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