Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 25 reflects tight clustering around 17–20°C, driven by ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS showing a mean peak of 18–19°C amid moderating spring conditions. Recent developments, including a weakening cold front from the north dissipating by midday, favor slight warming via southerly advection, nudging odds toward 18–19°C over cooler 16–17°C outcomes dependent on persistent cloud cover. Historical March maxima average 18.5°C, with diurnal variability amplified by urban heat island effects in the basin city; low probabilities for extremes stem from stable barometric gradients per China Meteorological Administration updates, though 1–2°C model spread underscores forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 25?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 25?
17°C 27%
19°C 23%
18°C 22%
20°C 19%
15°C or below
3%
16°C
16%
17°C
27%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
19%
21°C
18%
22°C
16%
23°C
13%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
2%
17°C 27%
19°C 23%
18°C 22%
20°C 19%
15°C or below
3%
16°C
16%
17°C
27%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
19%
21°C
18%
22°C
16%
23°C
13%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:22 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 25 reflects tight clustering around 17–20°C, driven by ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS showing a mean peak of 18–19°C amid moderating spring conditions. Recent developments, including a weakening cold front from the north dissipating by midday, favor slight warming via southerly advection, nudging odds toward 18–19°C over cooler 16–17°C outcomes dependent on persistent cloud cover. Historical March maxima average 18.5°C, with diurnal variability amplified by urban heat island effects in the basin city; low probabilities for extremes stem from stable barometric gradients per China Meteorological Administration updates, though 1–2°C model spread underscores forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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