Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate Chongqing's high temperature on March 23 will likely peak at 17-18°C, fueling trader sentiment with 38.5% odds on 18°C and 29.5% on 17°C amid closely matched leaders. This reflects late-March climatology, where historical averages hover around 17°C but diurnal solar heating and light southerly winds could push toward 20°C (18% odds) if cloud cover dissipates. Differentiating factors include model spread from transient cold air influences versus urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River basin, with minimal risk (under 2%) for extremes beyond 14-24°C based on ensemble projections and recent cooling trends. Official observations at 00Z UTC will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
18°C 31%
17°C 26%
20°C 15%
19°C 13%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
29%
18°C
38%
19°C
13%
20°C
18%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 31%
17°C 26%
20°C 15%
19°C 13%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
29%
18°C
38%
19°C
13%
20°C
18%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate Chongqing's high temperature on March 23 will likely peak at 17-18°C, fueling trader sentiment with 38.5% odds on 18°C and 29.5% on 17°C amid closely matched leaders. This reflects late-March climatology, where historical averages hover around 17°C but diurnal solar heating and light southerly winds could push toward 20°C (18% odds) if cloud cover dissipates. Differentiating factors include model spread from transient cold air influences versus urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River basin, with minimal risk (under 2%) for extremes beyond 14-24°C based on ensemble projections and recent cooling trends. Official observations at 00Z UTC will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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