Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a mild high of 24–27°C in Buenos Aires on March 21, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 25–26°C maxima amid a weakening high-pressure ridge over the pampas. Differentiating the closely matched leaders, downside risk to 24°C or below (28%) stems from potential southerly sea-breeze incursions and increased cloud cover from an approaching mid-latitude front, as indicated by SMN guidance, while 26–27°C odds (40% combined) reflect persistent urban heat island effects and drier northerly flows in warmer model members. Historical March averages hover at 27°C, but La Niña-fueled variability adds uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's model refresh.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 21. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 21. März?
24°C oder weniger 28%
26°C 22%
25°C 20%
27°C 17%
24°C oder weniger
28%
25°C
20%
26°C
22%
27°C
17%
28°C
11%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
1%
24°C oder weniger 28%
26°C 22%
25°C 20%
27°C 17%
24°C oder weniger
28%
25°C
20%
26°C
22%
27°C
17%
28°C
11%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a mild high of 24–27°C in Buenos Aires on March 21, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 25–26°C maxima amid a weakening high-pressure ridge over the pampas. Differentiating the closely matched leaders, downside risk to 24°C or below (28%) stems from potential southerly sea-breeze incursions and increased cloud cover from an approaching mid-latitude front, as indicated by SMN guidance, while 26–27°C odds (40% combined) reflect persistent urban heat island effects and drier northerly flows in warmer model members. Historical March averages hover at 27°C, but La Niña-fueled variability adds uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's model refresh.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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