Trader consensus pins Madrid's highest temperature on March 17 at 22°C with near-certainty, propelled by synchronized forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Spain's AEMET agency, all projecting a daytime peak of 22°C amid mild highs, light winds, and partial cloud cover. These align with March climatology—historical averages of 16-18°C at Barajas Airport station, where urban heat effects add 1-2°C—and ensemble model runs showing 95%+ probability within 20-23°C. Recent updates confirm stable high-pressure influence, quelling warmer outliers. Challenges could arise from sudden southerly advection or jet stream dips introducing unforecast heat, though synoptic patterns currently preclude such volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on March 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on March 17?
$74,455 Vol.
$74,455 Vol.
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
$74,455 Vol.
$74,455 Vol.
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 16, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins Madrid's highest temperature on March 17 at 22°C with near-certainty, propelled by synchronized forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Spain's AEMET agency, all projecting a daytime peak of 22°C amid mild highs, light winds, and partial cloud cover. These align with March climatology—historical averages of 16-18°C at Barajas Airport station, where urban heat effects add 1-2°C—and ensemble model runs showing 95%+ probability within 20-23°C. Recent updates confirm stable high-pressure influence, quelling warmer outliers. Challenges could arise from sudden southerly advection or jet stream dips introducing unforecast heat, though synoptic patterns currently preclude such volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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