Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 48-51°F highs for Seattle on March 21, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and NWS Seattle forecast indicating a daytime maximum near 50°F under a cool maritime air mass. Ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF show mean highs of 49.5-50.5°F, with a spread of ±2°F reflecting uncertainty in morning cloud clearance and Puget Sound stratus persistence—influenced by weak onshore flow and a lingering upper-level trough. This setup deviates below the 54°F March climatological average, as persistent low-level moisture caps temperatures; recent 12Z model runs nudged odds toward 50-51°F by refining diurnal heating profiles, though any prolonged overcast could tip toward 48-49°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seattle on March 21?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 21?
50-51°F 32%
48-49°F 30%
46-47°F 12.7%
56-57°F 12%
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
30%
50-51°F
32%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
2%
60°F or higher
4%
50-51°F 32%
48-49°F 30%
46-47°F 12.7%
56-57°F 12%
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
30%
50-51°F
32%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
2%
60°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 48-51°F highs for Seattle on March 21, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and NWS Seattle forecast indicating a daytime maximum near 50°F under a cool maritime air mass. Ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF show mean highs of 49.5-50.5°F, with a spread of ±2°F reflecting uncertainty in morning cloud clearance and Puget Sound stratus persistence—influenced by weak onshore flow and a lingering upper-level trough. This setup deviates below the 54°F March climatological average, as persistent low-level moisture caps temperatures; recent 12Z model runs nudged odds toward 50-51°F by refining diurnal heating profiles, though any prolonged overcast could tip toward 48-49°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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