Latest Environment Canada forecasts pinpoint Toronto's March 25 high near 4°C under persistent cloud cover and light precipitation risks, driving trader consensus with 4°C at 23.5%, edging out 3°C (20.5%) and 5°C (20.0%). Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight spreads of 1-2°C divergence, reflecting a stalled frontal boundary channeling cool Arctic air southward while Lake Ontario moderates extremes via thermal inertia. Historical March 25 averages hover at 6°C, but this year's jet stream dip favors subnormal temps, sidelining warmer outliers above 6°C below 15% combined; subzero odds remain minimal at 3% absent sudden ridging. Upcoming 12z model runs could shift odds if vorticity evolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Toronto on March 25?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 25?
4°C 29%
5°C 26%
3°C 20%
6°C 14%
0°C or below
3%
1°C
11%
2°C
9%
3°C
20%
4°C
23%
5°C
20%
6°C
14%
7°C
6%
8°C
7%
9°C
6%
10°C or higher
2%
4°C 29%
5°C 26%
3°C 20%
6°C 14%
0°C or below
3%
1°C
11%
2°C
9%
3°C
20%
4°C
23%
5°C
20%
6°C
14%
7°C
6%
8°C
7%
9°C
6%
10°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Environment Canada forecasts pinpoint Toronto's March 25 high near 4°C under persistent cloud cover and light precipitation risks, driving trader consensus with 4°C at 23.5%, edging out 3°C (20.5%) and 5°C (20.0%). Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight spreads of 1-2°C divergence, reflecting a stalled frontal boundary channeling cool Arctic air southward while Lake Ontario moderates extremes via thermal inertia. Historical March 25 averages hover at 6°C, but this year's jet stream dip favors subnormal temps, sidelining warmer outliers above 6°C below 15% combined; subzero odds remain minimal at 3% absent sudden ridging. Upcoming 12z model runs could shift odds if vorticity evolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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