Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 33°C (38%) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 22, edging out 32°C (31%), driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast predicting a peak of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. March marks the inter-monsoon dry period, where historical highs average 32.5–33.5°C, amplified by urban heat island effects in the city-state. Differentiation stems from afternoon convective showers potentially capping 34°C (18.5%) via evaporative cooling, while reduced sea breezes limit cooling below 32°C; neutral ENSO conditions sustain typical equatorial heat, with model ensembles from ECMWF aligning near 32–33°C amid low volatility. Upcoming hourly NEA updates could shift odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
33°C 38%
32°C 31%
34°C 23%
31°C 3.7%
$57,252 Vol.
$57,252 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
31%
33°C
38%
34°C
23%
35°C or higher
2%
33°C 38%
32°C 31%
34°C 23%
31°C 3.7%
$57,252 Vol.
$57,252 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
31%
33°C
38%
34°C
23%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 33°C (38%) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 22, edging out 32°C (31%), driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast predicting a peak of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. March marks the inter-monsoon dry period, where historical highs average 32.5–33.5°C, amplified by urban heat island effects in the city-state. Differentiation stems from afternoon convective showers potentially capping 34°C (18.5%) via evaporative cooling, while reduced sea breezes limit cooling below 32°C; neutral ENSO conditions sustain typical equatorial heat, with model ensembles from ECMWF aligning near 32–33°C amid low volatility. Upcoming hourly NEA updates could shift odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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