Traders favor 33°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 24, with 31% implied probability, driven by the National Environment Agency's latest forecast projecting a peak of 33°C amid persistent heat from the weakening El Niño influence. Close competition from 34°C (24%) and 32°C (23%) stems from model divergences: ECMWF leans hotter with reduced cloud cover and urban heat island amplification in the city-state's equatorial climate, while GFS anticipates moderating sea breezes and afternoon thunderstorms capping highs at 32°C. Historical March averages hover at 31.5–32.5°C, but low-level jets and humidity enhance perceived heat, heightening uncertainty as real-time observations unfold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Singapur am 24. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Singapur am 24. März?
33°C 31%
34°C 24%
32°C 23%
31°C 10%
25°C oder weniger
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
23%
33°C
31%
34°C
24%
35°C oder höher
8%
33°C 31%
34°C 24%
32°C 23%
31°C 10%
25°C oder weniger
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
23%
33°C
31%
34°C
24%
35°C oder höher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders favor 33°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 24, with 31% implied probability, driven by the National Environment Agency's latest forecast projecting a peak of 33°C amid persistent heat from the weakening El Niño influence. Close competition from 34°C (24%) and 32°C (23%) stems from model divergences: ECMWF leans hotter with reduced cloud cover and urban heat island amplification in the city-state's equatorial climate, while GFS anticipates moderating sea breezes and afternoon thunderstorms capping highs at 32°C. Historical March averages hover at 31.5–32.5°C, but low-level jets and humidity enhance perceived heat, heightening uncertainty as real-time observations unfold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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