Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 84-85°F (26.5%) and 82-83°F (25.0%) for Miami's March 24 high, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of 84°F under a building upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and highs 4-6°F above climatological norms. Major models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles converge near 83.5-85°F, but diverge on sea breeze timing: an earlier coastal onset could cap peaks at 82-83°F via enhanced mixing and marine influence, while delays permit 84-85°F maxima before sunset. Recent 12z runs nudged projections slightly higher amid low cloud cover risk, though 2-3°F model spread underscores uncertainty ahead of afternoon observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Miami on March 24?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 24?
84-85°F 27%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 17%
80-81°F 14%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 27%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 17%
80-81°F 14%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 84-85°F (26.5%) and 82-83°F (25.0%) for Miami's March 24 high, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of 84°F under a building upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and highs 4-6°F above climatological norms. Major models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles converge near 83.5-85°F, but diverge on sea breeze timing: an earlier coastal onset could cap peaks at 82-83°F via enhanced mixing and marine influence, while delays permit 84-85°F maxima before sunset. Recent 12z runs nudged projections slightly higher amid low cloud cover risk, though 2-3°F model spread underscores uncertainty ahead of afternoon observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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