Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 25°C in Hong Kong on March 22, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) latest forecast predicting exactly that amid mild spring conditions with light winds and partial sunshine. Numerical weather prediction models from HKO and ECMWF align on this, reflecting typical March climatology where daily highs average 23-25°C, supported by sea surface temperatures around 22°C fueling moderate warmth. Historical data shows rare deviations, with only 5% of March 22nds exceeding 27°C or dropping below 23°C. Challenges could arise from an unexpected trough bringing showers and cloud cover, potentially capping highs at 24°C or lower, or brief föhn winds pushing toward 26°C—scenarios with under 2% model probability per recent updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 22. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 22. März?
25°C 96.9%
26°C 1.1%
27°C oder höher <1%
17°C oder darunter <1%
$63,485 Vol.
$63,485 Vol.
17°C oder darunter
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
97%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 96.9%
26°C 1.1%
27°C oder höher <1%
17°C oder darunter <1%
$63,485 Vol.
$63,485 Vol.
17°C oder darunter
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
97%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 25°C in Hong Kong on March 22, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) latest forecast predicting exactly that amid mild spring conditions with light winds and partial sunshine. Numerical weather prediction models from HKO and ECMWF align on this, reflecting typical March climatology where daily highs average 23-25°C, supported by sea surface temperatures around 22°C fueling moderate warmth. Historical data shows rare deviations, with only 5% of March 22nds exceeding 27°C or dropping below 23°C. Challenges could arise from an unexpected trough bringing showers and cloud cover, potentially capping highs at 24°C or lower, or brief föhn winds pushing toward 26°C—scenarios with under 2% model probability per recent updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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