Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high of 82-83°F (36%) or 84-85°F (21%), driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on mid-80s peaks amid a strengthening subtropical ridge. Shortwave ridging over Florida, confirmed by recent upper-air analyses and satellite water vapor imagery, supports above-normal temperatures following a mild front's exit, with dewpoints in the 60s°F limiting convective interference. Historical March 23 averages hover near 79°F, but sea surface temperatures 1-2°F above normal bolster heat potential; traders eye afternoon model runs for refinements, as soundings indicate stable boundary layers conducive to those leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 23. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 23. März?
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 22%
80-81°F 20%
78–79 °F 15%
$10,040 Vol.
$10,040 Vol.
71°F oder darunter
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78–79 °F
14%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
3%
90°F oder höher
<1%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 22%
80-81°F 20%
78–79 °F 15%
$10,040 Vol.
$10,040 Vol.
71°F oder darunter
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78–79 °F
14%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
3%
90°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high of 82-83°F (36%) or 84-85°F (21%), driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on mid-80s peaks amid a strengthening subtropical ridge. Shortwave ridging over Florida, confirmed by recent upper-air analyses and satellite water vapor imagery, supports above-normal temperatures following a mild front's exit, with dewpoints in the 60s°F limiting convective interference. Historical March 23 averages hover near 79°F, but sea surface temperatures 1-2°F above normal bolster heat potential; traders eye afternoon model runs for refinements, as soundings indicate stable boundary layers conducive to those leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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