Trader consensus on Polymarket favors mild autumn conditions in Buenos Aires, with a 43.5% implied probability for a high of 23°C or below, closely trailed by 25°C at 23% and 24°C at 21%, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecast predicting a maximum of 25°C under partly cloudy skies with moderating sea breezes. Global models like ECMWF and GFS have converged on 24-25°C peaks, reflecting a cooling trend from recent 27-28°C days amid a weak frontal system, aligning with March historical averages around 24.5°C. Low odds for extremes underscore high forecast confidence, though intraday observations could shift outcomes as resolution hinges on Aeroparque station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
23°C or below 42%
24°C 21%
25°C 14%
26°C 10%
23°C or below
42%
24°C
21%
25°C
23%
26°C
16%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 42%
24°C 21%
25°C 14%
26°C 10%
23°C or below
42%
24°C
21%
25°C
23%
26°C
16%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors mild autumn conditions in Buenos Aires, with a 43.5% implied probability for a high of 23°C or below, closely trailed by 25°C at 23% and 24°C at 21%, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecast predicting a maximum of 25°C under partly cloudy skies with moderating sea breezes. Global models like ECMWF and GFS have converged on 24-25°C peaks, reflecting a cooling trend from recent 27-28°C days amid a weak frontal system, aligning with March historical averages around 24.5°C. Low odds for extremes underscore high forecast confidence, though intraday observations could shift outcomes as resolution hinges on Aeroparque station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen