**Trader sentiment centers on a 24°C high temperature in Buenos Aires on March 23 (34% implied probability), driven by consensus from recent ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting highs of 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds.** The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest update aligns, projecting mild autumn conditions amid ongoing La Niña cooling influences, with current readings near 22°C. Key variables tilting outcomes include sea breeze persistence and marine layer clouds favoring 21-23°C, afternoon solar heating and subsidence boosting 25-26°C, or unexpected frontal activity dropping below 20°C—historical March averages hover at 25-26°C but show high day-to-day variance. Model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with final 00Z runs pivotal for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 23. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 23. März?
24°C 34%
23°C 24%
22°C 15%
25°C 14%
19°C oder weniger
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
17%
22°C
15%
23°C
24%
24°C
34%
25°C
14%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
1%
24°C 34%
23°C 24%
22°C 15%
25°C 14%
19°C oder weniger
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
17%
22°C
15%
23°C
24%
24°C
34%
25°C
14%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on a 24°C high temperature in Buenos Aires on March 23 (34% implied probability), driven by consensus from recent ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting highs of 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds.** The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest update aligns, projecting mild autumn conditions amid ongoing La Niña cooling influences, with current readings near 22°C. Key variables tilting outcomes include sea breeze persistence and marine layer clouds favoring 21-23°C, afternoon solar heating and subsidence boosting 25-26°C, or unexpected frontal activity dropping below 20°C—historical March averages hover at 25-26°C but show high day-to-day variance. Model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with final 00Z runs pivotal for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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