Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS point to Seoul's highest temperature on March 24 clustering tightly around 13-15°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds for those outcomes. This reflects a mild high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula promoting warm air advection, contrasting March's historical average high of about 12°C, with recent surface observations at Gimpo Airport showing daytime highs in the low teens amid light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include model spread from potential afternoon cloud cover or subtle jet stream shifts, which could cap peaks at 13-14°C or push toward 15°C+; upcoming 12Z model runs may sharpen the edge as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on March 24?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 24?
13°C 26%
12°C 25%
15°C or higher 24%
14°C 24%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
17%
11°C
13%
12°C
19%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C or higher
24%
13°C 26%
12°C 25%
15°C or higher 24%
14°C 24%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
17%
11°C
13%
12°C
19%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS point to Seoul's highest temperature on March 24 clustering tightly around 13-15°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds for those outcomes. This reflects a mild high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula promoting warm air advection, contrasting March's historical average high of about 12°C, with recent surface observations at Gimpo Airport showing daytime highs in the low teens amid light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include model spread from potential afternoon cloud cover or subtle jet stream shifts, which could cap peaks at 13-14°C or push toward 15°C+; upcoming 12Z model runs may sharpen the edge as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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