Trader sentiment for Seattle's March 24 high temperature hinges on the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which cluster around 52-54°F with a slight tilt toward 54°F or higher at 35.5%, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering mild continental air over the Pacific Northwest. The close race with 50-51°F (31%) reflects lingering uncertainty from potential marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating, as seen in recent model runs showing divergent boundary-layer mixing. Historical data indicates average March 24 highs near 53°F, but today's clearer skies per NOAA short-range outlooks favor the warmer outcomes, with key resolution hinging on afternoon solar insolation versus coastal influence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seattle on March 24?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 24?
50-51°F 33%
54°F or higher 31%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 22%
35°F or below
1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
4%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
33%
52-53°F
30%
54°F or higher
38%
50-51°F 33%
54°F or higher 31%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 22%
35°F or below
1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
4%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
33%
52-53°F
30%
54°F or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's March 24 high temperature hinges on the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which cluster around 52-54°F with a slight tilt toward 54°F or higher at 35.5%, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering mild continental air over the Pacific Northwest. The close race with 50-51°F (31%) reflects lingering uncertainty from potential marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating, as seen in recent model runs showing divergent boundary-layer mixing. Historical data indicates average March 24 highs near 53°F, but today's clearer skies per NOAA short-range outlooks favor the warmer outcomes, with key resolution hinging on afternoon solar insolation versus coastal influence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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