Trader consensus for Seattle's March 23 high temperature centers on 50-51°F (42% implied probability) edging 52-53°F (34%), driven by latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting low-50s peaks under partly cloudy skies with persistent marine layer influence and light southerly flow capping adiabatic warming. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud breaks—European runs hint at slight ridging aloft for marginal 52°F upside—versus cooler GFS bias from Puget Sound convergence zone effects. Historical March averages hover near 55°F, but cool anomalies from Pacific moisture dominate 70% of recent analogs; traders monitor 12Z NWS updates for resolution shifts amid 2-3°F forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 23. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 23. März?
50-51°F 40%
52-53°F 31%
48-49°F 18%
54-55°F 9%
41°F oder darunter
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
40%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
1%
60°F oder höher
<1%
50-51°F 40%
52-53°F 31%
48-49°F 18%
54-55°F 9%
41°F oder darunter
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
40%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
1%
60°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Seattle's March 23 high temperature centers on 50-51°F (42% implied probability) edging 52-53°F (34%), driven by latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting low-50s peaks under partly cloudy skies with persistent marine layer influence and light southerly flow capping adiabatic warming. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud breaks—European runs hint at slight ridging aloft for marginal 52°F upside—versus cooler GFS bias from Puget Sound convergence zone effects. Historical March averages hover near 55°F, but cool anomalies from Pacific moisture dominate 70% of recent analogs; traders monitor 12Z NWS updates for resolution shifts amid 2-3°F forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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