Trader consensus clusters around 52-53°F (44.5% implied probability) and 50-51°F (30.5%) for Seattle's March 22 high temperature, driven by high-confidence forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks in the low 52s amid a persistent upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. This cool pattern, reinforced by cool sea surface temperatures in the coastal waters (around 48°F), aligns with Seattle's March climatological average high of 53°F but tempered by marine stratus clouds limiting daytime heating. The National Weather Service Seattle office's latest 12Z guidance confirms a 52°F maximum, with minimal spread across ensemble members indicating low forecast uncertainty just days out; recent radiosonde data from Quillayute shows stable cool air advection sustaining these subdued odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 22. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 22. März?
52-53°F 45%
50-51°F 31%
54-55°F 13%
48-49°F 3.8%
$24,560 Vol.
$24,560 Vol.
45°F oder darunter
<1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
45%
54-55°F
13%
56–57°F
4%
58-59°F
1%
60–61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F oder höher
<1%
52-53°F 45%
50-51°F 31%
54-55°F 13%
48-49°F 3.8%
$24,560 Vol.
$24,560 Vol.
45°F oder darunter
<1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
45%
54-55°F
13%
56–57°F
4%
58-59°F
1%
60–61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 52-53°F (44.5% implied probability) and 50-51°F (30.5%) for Seattle's March 22 high temperature, driven by high-confidence forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks in the low 52s amid a persistent upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. This cool pattern, reinforced by cool sea surface temperatures in the coastal waters (around 48°F), aligns with Seattle's March climatological average high of 53°F but tempered by marine stratus clouds limiting daytime heating. The National Weather Service Seattle office's latest 12Z guidance confirms a 52°F maximum, with minimal spread across ensemble members indicating low forecast uncertainty just days out; recent radiosonde data from Quillayute shows stable cool air advection sustaining these subdued odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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