Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 74-77°F due to the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, which project peaks of 74-76°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting adiabatic warming and minimal marine layer influence. Differentiating the top bins—76-77°F (24.5%) versus 74-75°F (24.0%)—hinges on the potential strengthening of weak Santa Ana winds, which could enhance downslope warming aloft by 1-2°F per model sensitivity runs, while 84°F+ (23.5%) reflects outlier hotter dry projections if offshore flow intensifies unexpectedly. Cooler outcomes lag given historical March averages near 71°F but current dry adiabatic conditions favoring above-normal heat; key watch is today's 18Z model updates for resolution criteria at LAX observatory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
84°F or higher 22.5%
82-83°F 16%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
16%
84°F or higher
23%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
84°F or higher 22.5%
82-83°F 16%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
16%
84°F or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 74-77°F due to the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, which project peaks of 74-76°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting adiabatic warming and minimal marine layer influence. Differentiating the top bins—76-77°F (24.5%) versus 74-75°F (24.0%)—hinges on the potential strengthening of weak Santa Ana winds, which could enhance downslope warming aloft by 1-2°F per model sensitivity runs, while 84°F+ (23.5%) reflects outlier hotter dry projections if offshore flow intensifies unexpectedly. Cooler outcomes lag given historical March averages near 71°F but current dry adiabatic conditions favoring above-normal heat; key watch is today's 18Z model updates for resolution criteria at LAX observatory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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