The India Meteorological Department's latest ensemble forecasts point to a high of 32°C in Lucknow on March 23, anchoring trader sentiment with 47.5% implied probability on 31°C or below and 33.5% on exactly 32°C. Late March norms in this Indo-Gangetic plain location average 30-34°C maxima amid rising solar insolation and dry northerly winds, while recent observations show stable highs around 31°C over the past week, absent any heat dome or low-pressure anomalies. This positions 33°C (14%) as a plausible outlier from minor convective heating, with hotter outcomes under 5% reflecting low model divergence and no early summer surge signals from satellite-derived skin temperatures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
31°C or below 48%
32°C 35%
33°C 13%
35°C 3.1%
$122,548 Vol.
$122,548 Vol.
31°C or below
48%
32°C
35%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 48%
32°C 35%
33°C 13%
35°C 3.1%
$122,548 Vol.
$122,548 Vol.
31°C or below
48%
32°C
35%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department's latest ensemble forecasts point to a high of 32°C in Lucknow on March 23, anchoring trader sentiment with 47.5% implied probability on 31°C or below and 33.5% on exactly 32°C. Late March norms in this Indo-Gangetic plain location average 30-34°C maxima amid rising solar insolation and dry northerly winds, while recent observations show stable highs around 31°C over the past week, absent any heat dome or low-pressure anomalies. This positions 33°C (14%) as a plausible outlier from minor convective heating, with hotter outcomes under 5% reflecting low model divergence and no early summer surge signals from satellite-derived skin temperatures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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