Trader consensus strongly favors a maximum temperature of 30°C or below in Lucknow on March 22 (90% implied probability), driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting highs near 28-29°C under persistent northerly winds from a western disturbance. March norms for Lucknow typically see peaks of 31-33°C, but recent data shows suppressed readings—highs of 27-29°C over the past week—due to cloudy skies and cooler air masses reducing solar heating. GFS and ECMWF models align on this mild outlook, with minimal risk of heat spikes, though diurnal variability could nudge toward 31°C (7.5% odds) if winds lighten; higher outcomes remain negligible absent sudden clearing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 22?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 22?
30°C or below 90%
31°C 7%
32°C 1.9%
33°C <1%
$39,875 Vol.
$39,875 Vol.
30°C or below
90%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
30°C or below 90%
31°C 7%
32°C 1.9%
33°C <1%
$39,875 Vol.
$39,875 Vol.
30°C or below
90%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a maximum temperature of 30°C or below in Lucknow on March 22 (90% implied probability), driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting highs near 28-29°C under persistent northerly winds from a western disturbance. March norms for Lucknow typically see peaks of 31-33°C, but recent data shows suppressed readings—highs of 27-29°C over the past week—due to cloudy skies and cooler air masses reducing solar heating. GFS and ECMWF models align on this mild outlook, with minimal risk of heat spikes, though diurnal variability could nudge toward 31°C (7.5% odds) if winds lighten; higher outcomes remain negligible absent sudden clearing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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