Trader consensus favors 18°C at 38% implied probability, closely trailed by 19°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting Tel Aviv's diurnal high in the 17-20°C range amid a mild Mediterranean autumnal pattern. Key differentiators include persistent northerly winds enhancing sea-breeze cooling, which could cap peaks at 18°C per high-resolution HARMONIE runs, versus slightly warmer GFS outliers at 19-20°C under reduced cloud cover. Historical March 24 highs average 19.2°C at Ben Gurion Airport station (market resolution site), but current cooler anomalies from upstream low-pressure troughs tilt odds downward; traders await Israel's Meteorological Service 12Z update for final divergence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
18°C 35%
19°C 33%
20°C 24%
17°C 16%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
2%
15°C
12%
16°C
14%
17°C
16%
18°C
36%
19°C
32%
20°C
24%
21°C
14%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
7%
18°C 35%
19°C 33%
20°C 24%
17°C 16%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
2%
15°C
12%
16°C
14%
17°C
16%
18°C
36%
19°C
32%
20°C
24%
21°C
14%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 18°C at 38% implied probability, closely trailed by 19°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting Tel Aviv's diurnal high in the 17-20°C range amid a mild Mediterranean autumnal pattern. Key differentiators include persistent northerly winds enhancing sea-breeze cooling, which could cap peaks at 18°C per high-resolution HARMONIE runs, versus slightly warmer GFS outliers at 19-20°C under reduced cloud cover. Historical March 24 highs average 19.2°C at Ben Gurion Airport station (market resolution site), but current cooler anomalies from upstream low-pressure troughs tilt odds downward; traders await Israel's Meteorological Service 12Z update for final divergence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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