Latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS show Taipei's March 24 high temperature clustering tightly around 26-28°C, fueling the near-even trader consensus with 26°C at 26.5%, 27°C at 25.5%, and 28°C at 24.5%. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration reports partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds boosting advection of warmer air above the seasonal March average of 24°C, amplified by Taipei's urban heat island effect during peak afternoon insolation. Differentiating factors include model divergences on cloud cover evolution—ECMWF favors slight overcast muting 28°C peaks, while GFS projects clearer skies for stronger diurnal heating—and low-level humidity inhibiting extremes. Hourly updates from official stations will refine resolution amid this 2°C uncertainty band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 24?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 24?
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 13%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
6%
25°C
13%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
6%
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 13%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
6%
25°C
13%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS show Taipei's March 24 high temperature clustering tightly around 26-28°C, fueling the near-even trader consensus with 26°C at 26.5%, 27°C at 25.5%, and 28°C at 24.5%. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration reports partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds boosting advection of warmer air above the seasonal March average of 24°C, amplified by Taipei's urban heat island effect during peak afternoon insolation. Differentiating factors include model divergences on cloud cover evolution—ECMWF favors slight overcast muting 28°C peaks, while GFS projects clearer skies for stronger diurnal heating—and low-level humidity inhibiting extremes. Hourly updates from official stations will refine resolution amid this 2°C uncertainty band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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