Trader sentiment on Milan's highest temperature on March 24 centers on mild spring conditions implied by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which cluster around 16-18°C with a mean near 17°C, driving the 31% odds for 16°C as the peak consensus. Recent developments include a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe, displacing cooler Atlantic air and favoring above-normal highs—historically averaging 13-15°C in late March at Milan Linate Airport. Key variables include cloud cover from residual fronts, which could cap peaks at 15°C (17.1% odds), southerly föhn winds boosting to 20-22°C (17.4-16.5%), or cold outbreaks dropping below 14°C (15-7.9%). High uncertainty stems from model divergence on exact ridge positioning, with official Italian Met Service updates pending.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on March 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 24?
16°C 31%
17°C 11%
18°C 11%
19°C 10%
12°C or below
8%
13°C
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
31%
17°C
20%
18°C
16%
19°C
20%
20°C
17%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
16%
16°C 31%
17°C 11%
18°C 11%
19°C 10%
12°C or below
8%
13°C
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
31%
17°C
20%
18°C
16%
19°C
20%
20°C
17%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:27 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Milan's highest temperature on March 24 centers on mild spring conditions implied by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which cluster around 16-18°C with a mean near 17°C, driving the 31% odds for 16°C as the peak consensus. Recent developments include a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe, displacing cooler Atlantic air and favoring above-normal highs—historically averaging 13-15°C in late March at Milan Linate Airport. Key variables include cloud cover from residual fronts, which could cap peaks at 15°C (17.1% odds), southerly föhn winds boosting to 20-22°C (17.4-16.5%), or cold outbreaks dropping below 14°C (15-7.9%). High uncertainty stems from model divergence on exact ridge positioning, with official Italian Met Service updates pending.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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