Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 16°C (31%) and 17°C (27.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 16.2°C amid a mild high-pressure ridge ushering southerly flows from the Mediterranean. These edge out 15°C (24%) due to above-climatological norms—March 23 historical highs average 14.5°C at Milano Linate—but cloud cover uncertainty and afternoon insolation variability keep odds competitive. Recent model runs show reduced spread from prior cold biases, with southerly advection favoring 1-2°C above mean, though overnight clears could cap peaks at 15°C if mixing weakens. Official observations will resolve via Linate station data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 23. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 23. März?
16°C 34%
15°C 25%
17°C 25%
14°C 9%
10°C oder weniger
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
25%
16°C
34%
17°C
25%
18°C
9%
19°C
3%
20°C oder höher
3%
16°C 34%
15°C 25%
17°C 25%
14°C 9%
10°C oder weniger
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
25%
16°C
34%
17°C
25%
18°C
9%
19°C
3%
20°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 16°C (31%) and 17°C (27.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 16.2°C amid a mild high-pressure ridge ushering southerly flows from the Mediterranean. These edge out 15°C (24%) due to above-climatological norms—March 23 historical highs average 14.5°C at Milano Linate—but cloud cover uncertainty and afternoon insolation variability keep odds competitive. Recent model runs show reduced spread from prior cold biases, with southerly advection favoring 1-2°C above mean, though overnight clears could cap peaks at 15°C if mixing weakens. Official observations will resolve via Linate station data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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