Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by China Meteorological Administration updates, drive the tight race between 17°C (32.5%) and 18°C (32.5%) as Chongqing's highest temperature on March 24, implying a peak amid mild southerly airflow and seasonal warming. Historical March highs average 16-18°C at the official station, but urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River basin could nudge it higher, while variable cloud cover introduces 1-2°C uncertainty differentiating outcomes. Recent observations show daytime temps climbing to 19°C nearby, yet frontal remnants risk capping it at 17°C, fueling trader caution on 19°C (23%) amid low odds for extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
17°C 34%
18°C 34%
19°C 23%
16°C 20%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
6%
13°C
12%
14°C
16%
15°C
18%
16°C
20%
17°C
33%
18°C
33%
19°C
23%
20°C or higher
17%
17°C 34%
18°C 34%
19°C 23%
16°C 20%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
6%
13°C
12%
14°C
16%
15°C
18%
16°C
20%
17°C
33%
18°C
33%
19°C
23%
20°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by China Meteorological Administration updates, drive the tight race between 17°C (32.5%) and 18°C (32.5%) as Chongqing's highest temperature on March 24, implying a peak amid mild southerly airflow and seasonal warming. Historical March highs average 16-18°C at the official station, but urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River basin could nudge it higher, while variable cloud cover introduces 1-2°C uncertainty differentiating outcomes. Recent observations show daytime temps climbing to 19°C nearby, yet frontal remnants risk capping it at 17°C, fueling trader caution on 19°C (23%) amid low odds for extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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