Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 20°C high in Chongqing on March 21, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF model runs pinpointing peak afternoon temperatures at precisely that threshold amid lingering cool northerly flows and partial cloud cover. Historical March data for the city averages 16-18°C highs, with this year's early spring pattern aligning via surface observations showing diurnal maxima stabilizing around 20°C from urban stations. Verified satellite-derived cloud patterns and radiosonde profiles reinforce this, leaving negligible room for deviation. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift to clear skies and southerly winds accelerating warm air advection, though current upper-air analyses show low likelihood before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 21. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 21. März?
$35,365 Vol.
$35,365 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C oder höher
<1%
$35,365 Vol.
$35,365 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 20°C high in Chongqing on March 21, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF model runs pinpointing peak afternoon temperatures at precisely that threshold amid lingering cool northerly flows and partial cloud cover. Historical March data for the city averages 16-18°C highs, with this year's early spring pattern aligning via surface observations showing diurnal maxima stabilizing around 20°C from urban stations. Verified satellite-derived cloud patterns and radiosonde profiles reinforce this, leaving negligible room for deviation. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift to clear skies and southerly winds accelerating warm air advection, though current upper-air analyses show low likelihood before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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