Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Denver high of 76-81°F on March 26, with 76-77°F and 80-81°F each at 17% implied probability, propelled by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering in this range amid a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies. This high-pressure system promotes downslope foehn winds and adiabatic compression, boosting temperatures well above the late-March climatological average of 56°F. Differentiating factors include GFS's warmer bias (projecting 80°F peaks) versus ECMWF's slightly cooler 74-76°F output, compounded by low cloud cover probabilities (<20%) and dry soils enhancing daytime heating; any convective showers or jet streak perturbations could shave 3-5°F off the max, justifying tight odds across 72-83°F bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on March 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
71°F or below 23%
84-85°F 3%
88-89°F 3%
72-73°F 1%
71°F or below
23%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
12%
90°F or higher
15%
71°F or below 23%
84-85°F 3%
88-89°F 3%
72-73°F 1%
71°F or below
23%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
12%
90°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Denver high of 76-81°F on March 26, with 76-77°F and 80-81°F each at 17% implied probability, propelled by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering in this range amid a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies. This high-pressure system promotes downslope foehn winds and adiabatic compression, boosting temperatures well above the late-March climatological average of 56°F. Differentiating factors include GFS's warmer bias (projecting 80°F peaks) versus ECMWF's slightly cooler 74-76°F output, compounded by low cloud cover probabilities (<20%) and dry soils enhancing daytime heating; any convective showers or jet streak perturbations could shave 3-5°F off the max, justifying tight odds across 72-83°F bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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