Ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS drive the tight race among 12-15°C outcomes for Ankara's March 26 high temperature, with 13°C (21%) and 14°C (20.5%) leading due to consensus on mild southerly airflow bringing Atlantic warmth tempered by partial cloud cover. Recent 12Z runs show slight divergence: ECMWF leans cooler at 13°C from increased low-level moisture inhibiting solar insolation, while GFS hints at 14-15°C if clearer skies prevail amid weakening fronts. Historical March 26 highs average 13.5°C, but short-term forecast uncertainty—diurnal temperature range and boundary layer mixing—keeps lower (12°C) and higher (15°C+) options viable, as traders await 00Z updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
13°C 21%
14°C 21%
12°C 17%
15°C 17%
8°C or below
11%
9°C
16%
10°C
15%
11°C
15%
12°C
17%
13°C
21%
14°C
21%
15°C
17%
16°C
14%
17°C
11%
18°C or higher
14%
13°C 21%
14°C 21%
12°C 17%
15°C 17%
8°C or below
11%
9°C
16%
10°C
15%
11°C
15%
12°C
17%
13°C
21%
14°C
21%
15°C
17%
16°C
14%
17°C
11%
18°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS drive the tight race among 12-15°C outcomes for Ankara's March 26 high temperature, with 13°C (21%) and 14°C (20.5%) leading due to consensus on mild southerly airflow bringing Atlantic warmth tempered by partial cloud cover. Recent 12Z runs show slight divergence: ECMWF leans cooler at 13°C from increased low-level moisture inhibiting solar insolation, while GFS hints at 14-15°C if clearer skies prevail amid weakening fronts. Historical March 26 highs average 13.5°C, but short-term forecast uncertainty—diurnal temperature range and boundary layer mixing—keeps lower (12°C) and higher (15°C+) options viable, as traders await 00Z updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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