Ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) are converging on a high-pressure system over central China, implying trader-favored highs of 20-22°C in Chongqing on March 26, with 21°C and 22°C edging ahead at 19.5% due to projected light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Historical China Meteorological Administration data shows late-March averages around 20.5°C, amplified by Chongqing's urban heat island effect and Yangtze River valley topography that traps warmth. Tight odds reflect model spread from potential afternoon cloudiness reducing insolation by 10-20%, favoring lower bins like 20°C (18.5%); 18°C or below lags amid absent cold fronts. Watch CMA's next 12-hour update for resolution-defining peaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
21°C 20%
22°C 20%
20°C 19%
18°C or below 17%
18°C or below
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
19%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
17%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C
16%
27°C
16%
28°C or higher
16%
21°C 20%
22°C 20%
20°C 19%
18°C or below 17%
18°C or below
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
19%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
17%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C
16%
27°C
16%
28°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) are converging on a high-pressure system over central China, implying trader-favored highs of 20-22°C in Chongqing on March 26, with 21°C and 22°C edging ahead at 19.5% due to projected light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Historical China Meteorological Administration data shows late-March averages around 20.5°C, amplified by Chongqing's urban heat island effect and Yangtze River valley topography that traps warmth. Tight odds reflect model spread from potential afternoon cloudiness reducing insolation by 10-20%, favoring lower bins like 20°C (18.5%); 18°C or below lags amid absent cold fronts. Watch CMA's next 12-hour update for resolution-defining peaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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