Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on March 26 shows a bimodal split, with 25% odds each for 17°C or below and 27°C or higher, reflecting ensemble forecast divergence from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. CWA's latest outlook points to a daytime high near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, but model clusters differ on a potential weakening cold front's influence versus persistent subtropical high pressure. Historical March 26 highs average 24°C (std. dev. 3.2°C), amplifying uncertainty from frontal timing and cloud cover; traders eye this afternoon's radiosonde data for front progression as the key differentiator between cool northerlies capping temps or warm advection pushing extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
17°C or below 25%
27°C or higher 25%
23°C 17%
24°C 17%
17°C or below
25%
18°C
12%
19°C
13%
20°C
14%
21°C
16%
22°C
17%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C or higher
25%
17°C or below 25%
27°C or higher 25%
23°C 17%
24°C 17%
17°C or below
25%
18°C
12%
19°C
13%
20°C
14%
21°C
16%
22°C
17%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on March 26 shows a bimodal split, with 25% odds each for 17°C or below and 27°C or higher, reflecting ensemble forecast divergence from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. CWA's latest outlook points to a daytime high near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, but model clusters differ on a potential weakening cold front's influence versus persistent subtropical high pressure. Historical March 26 highs average 24°C (std. dev. 3.2°C), amplifying uncertainty from frontal timing and cloud cover; traders eye this afternoon's radiosonde data for front progression as the key differentiator between cool northerlies capping temps or warm advection pushing extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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