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内塔尼亚胡是否会在2月28日之前得到赦免?

Market icon

内塔尼亚胡是否会在2月28日之前得到赦免?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$34,014 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$34,014 交易量

Donald Trump recently wrote a letter to Israeli President Isaac Herzog asking Herzog to Pardon Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-asked-israeli-president-pardon-netanyahu-israeli-presidents-office-says-2025-11-12/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$34,014
结束日期
Feb 28, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
Donald Trump recently wrote a letter to Israeli President Isaac Herzog asking Herzog to Pardon Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-asked-israeli-president-pardon-netanyahu-israeli-presidents-office-says-2025-11-12/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

Donald Trump recently wrote a letter to Israeli President Isaac Herzog asking Herzog to Pardon Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-asked-israeli-president-pardon-netanyahu-israeli-presidents-office-says-2025-11-12/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$34,014
结束日期
Feb 28, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
Donald Trump recently wrote a letter to Israeli President Isaac Herzog asking Herzog to Pardon Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-asked-israeli-president-pardon-netanyahu-israeli-presidents-office-says-2025-11-12/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"内塔尼亚胡是否会在2月28日之前得到赦免?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "内塔尼亚胡会在2月28日前被赦免吗?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "内塔尼亚胡是否会在2月28日之前得到赦免?" has generated $34K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "内塔尼亚胡是否会在2月28日之前得到赦免?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "内塔尼亚胡是否会在2月28日之前得到赦免?" is "内塔尼亚胡会在2月28日前被赦免吗?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "内塔尼亚胡是否会在2月28日之前得到赦免?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.