Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 92.5% for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Frank Lucas's unchallenged dominance in this rural R+24 stronghold covering western Oklahoma. Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election, won reelection unopposed in the 2024 general after a comfortable GOP primary, underscoring the district's reliable Republican base rates with margins often exceeding 70%. No formidable Democratic challengers have materialized ahead of the April 3 filing deadline, primaries on June 16, and general election November 3, leaving trader odds anchored by incumbency advantages and minimal opposition like Rebekah LaVann. Upsets could stem from Lucas health issues, scandals, retirement, or a national Democratic wave, but face steep structural barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$40,385 交易量
$40,385 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
6%
$40,385 交易量
$40,385 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$25,689 交易量
93%
民主党
$14,696 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 92.5% for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Frank Lucas's unchallenged dominance in this rural R+24 stronghold covering western Oklahoma. Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election, won reelection unopposed in the 2024 general after a comfortable GOP primary, underscoring the district's reliable Republican base rates with margins often exceeding 70%. No formidable Democratic challengers have materialized ahead of the April 3 filing deadline, primaries on June 16, and general election November 3, leaving trader odds anchored by incumbency advantages and minimal opposition like Rebekah LaVann. Upsets could stem from Lucas health issues, scandals, retirement, or a national Democratic wave, but face steep structural barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$40,385结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 92.5% for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Frank Lucas's unchallenged dominance in this rural R+24 stronghold covering western Oklahoma. Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election, won reelection unopposed in the 2024 general after a comfortable GOP primary, underscoring the district's reliable Republican base rates with margins often exceeding 70%. No formidable Democratic challengers have materialized ahead of the April 3 filing deadline, primaries on June 16, and general election November 3, leaving trader odds anchored by incumbency advantages and minimal opposition like Rebekah LaVann. Upsets could stem from Lucas health issues, scandals, retirement, or a national Democratic wave, but face steep structural barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,385结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 92.5% for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Frank Lucas's unchallenged dominance in this rural R+24 stronghold covering western Oklahoma. Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election, won reelection unopposed in the 2024 general after a comfortable GOP primary, underscoring the district's reliable Republican base rates with margins often exceeding 70%. No formidable Democratic challengers have materialized ahead of the April 3 filing deadline, primaries on June 16, and general election November 3, leaving trader odds anchored by incumbency advantages and minimal opposition like Rebekah LaVann. Upsets could stem from Lucas health issues, scandals, retirement, or a national Democratic wave, but face steep structural barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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