Illinois’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell advanced from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3, 2026, as solidly or safely Democratic, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains in this Chicago-area seat. Trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical margins. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,361 交易量
$40,361 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
2%
$40,361 交易量
$40,361 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,654 交易量
93%
共和党
$22,707 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell advanced from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3, 2026, as solidly or safely Democratic, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains in this Chicago-area seat. Trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical margins. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$40,361结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell advanced from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3, 2026, as solidly or safely Democratic, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains in this Chicago-area seat. Trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical margins. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,361结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell advanced from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3, 2026, as solidly or safely Democratic, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains in this Chicago-area seat. Trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical margins. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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