The Democratic Party's commanding position in the IL-01 House race stems from the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell prevailed in a low-turnout contest against a single challenger. These outcomes align with Jackson's 32-point general election victory in 2024, establishing a durable baseline advantage. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats captures this structural reality, though shifts could still occur from an unforeseen national political wave, candidate withdrawal, or late legal developments affecting ballot access before the November 2026 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,361 交易量
$40,361 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
2%
$40,361 交易量
$40,361 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,654 交易量
93%
共和党
$22,707 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's commanding position in the IL-01 House race stems from the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell prevailed in a low-turnout contest against a single challenger. These outcomes align with Jackson's 32-point general election victory in 2024, establishing a durable baseline advantage. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats captures this structural reality, though shifts could still occur from an unforeseen national political wave, candidate withdrawal, or late legal developments affecting ballot access before the November 2026 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$40,361结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's commanding position in the IL-01 House race stems from the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell prevailed in a low-turnout contest against a single challenger. These outcomes align with Jackson's 32-point general election victory in 2024, establishing a durable baseline advantage. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats captures this structural reality, though shifts could still occur from an unforeseen national political wave, candidate withdrawal, or late legal developments affecting ballot access before the November 2026 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,361结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party's commanding position in the IL-01 House race stems from the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell prevailed in a low-turnout contest against a single challenger. These outcomes align with Jackson's 32-point general election victory in 2024, establishing a durable baseline advantage. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats captures this structural reality, though shifts could still occur from an unforeseen national political wave, candidate withdrawal, or late legal developments affecting ballot access before the November 2026 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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