California's 32nd congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold ahead of the November 2026 general election, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats and multiple party candidates advancing through the June primary. Incumbent Brad Sherman and other Democratic entrants face minimal Republican opposition in a race consistently rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. This structural advantage, reinforced by the district's electoral history and partisan lean, underpins the market's assignment of over 92 percent probability to a Democratic winner. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican primary performer or unexpected national shifts in voter sentiment, though both remain low-probability events at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,412 交易量
$14,412 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$14,412 交易量
$14,412 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,871 交易量
93%
共和党
$8,541 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 32nd congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold ahead of the November 2026 general election, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats and multiple party candidates advancing through the June primary. Incumbent Brad Sherman and other Democratic entrants face minimal Republican opposition in a race consistently rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. This structural advantage, reinforced by the district's electoral history and partisan lean, underpins the market's assignment of over 92 percent probability to a Democratic winner. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican primary performer or unexpected national shifts in voter sentiment, though both remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$14,412结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 32nd congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold ahead of the November 2026 general election, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats and multiple party candidates advancing through the June primary. Incumbent Brad Sherman and other Democratic entrants face minimal Republican opposition in a race consistently rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. This structural advantage, reinforced by the district's electoral history and partisan lean, underpins the market's assignment of over 92 percent probability to a Democratic winner. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican primary performer or unexpected national shifts in voter sentiment, though both remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,412结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 32nd congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold ahead of the November 2026 general election, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats and multiple party candidates advancing through the June primary. Incumbent Brad Sherman and other Democratic entrants face minimal Republican opposition in a race consistently rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. This structural advantage, reinforced by the district's electoral history and partisan lean, underpins the market's assignment of over 92 percent probability to a Democratic winner. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican primary performer or unexpected national shifts in voter sentiment, though both remain low-probability events at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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