Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi's commanding fundraising lead—over $4.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and narrow 2024 general election victory over Mike LiPetri (51.7%-48.1%) in this even-partisan district drive trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 76.5% implied probability for the November 2026 general election. Recent National Republican Congressional Committee addition of rematch challenger LiPetri to its MAGA Majority program on March 17 signals potential GOP investment to contest the Trump-won seat (51%-47% in 2024), though Republican primary rivals like Gregory Hach trail far behind in resources. With primaries on June 23 and no public polling yet, Suozzi's incumbency and moderate appeal sustain the market's Democratic lean despite the battleground dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
76%
共和党
23%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$0 交易量
76%
共和党
$0 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi's commanding fundraising lead—over $4.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and narrow 2024 general election victory over Mike LiPetri (51.7%-48.1%) in this even-partisan district drive trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 76.5% implied probability for the November 2026 general election. Recent National Republican Congressional Committee addition of rematch challenger LiPetri to its MAGA Majority program on March 17 signals potential GOP investment to contest the Trump-won seat (51%-47% in 2024), though Republican primary rivals like Gregory Hach trail far behind in resources. With primaries on June 23 and no public polling yet, Suozzi's incumbency and moderate appeal sustain the market's Democratic lean despite the battleground dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi's commanding fundraising lead—over $4.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and narrow 2024 general election victory over Mike LiPetri (51.7%-48.1%) in this even-partisan district drive trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 76.5% implied probability for the November 2026 general election. Recent National Republican Congressional Committee addition of rematch challenger LiPetri to its MAGA Majority program on March 17 signals potential GOP investment to contest the Trump-won seat (51%-47% in 2024), though Republican primary rivals like Gregory Hach trail far behind in resources. With primaries on June 23 and no public polling yet, Suozzi's incumbency and moderate appeal sustain the market's Democratic lean despite the battleground dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi's commanding fundraising lead—over $4.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and narrow 2024 general election victory over Mike LiPetri (51.7%-48.1%) in this even-partisan district drive trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 76.5% implied probability for the November 2026 general election. Recent National Republican Congressional Committee addition of rematch challenger LiPetri to its MAGA Majority program on March 17 signals potential GOP investment to contest the Trump-won seat (51%-47% in 2024), though Republican primary rivals like Gregory Hach trail far behind in resources. With primaries on June 23 and no public polling yet, Suozzi's incumbency and moderate appeal sustain the market's Democratic lean despite the battleground dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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