**Trader consensus favors a Democratic hold on Nevada's 3rd Congressional District at 79.5%, reflecting incumbent Susie Lee's double-digit leads in recent polling averages.** The latest RMG Research survey (October 28-29) shows Lee ahead 52%-41% over Republican challenger Sam Peters, consistent with 538's forecast giving Democrats an 84% win probability. This suburban Las Vegas battleground leans Democratic due to strong performance among Latino voters and independents, bolstered by Lee's incumbency advantage and fundraising edge. Early voting trends reveal higher Democratic mail ballot requests, signaling solid turnout ahead of November 5. No major developments in the past week have narrowed the gap, though national GOP momentum could influence undecideds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
68%
共和党
37%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
68%
共和党
$0 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus favors a Democratic hold on Nevada's 3rd Congressional District at 79.5%, reflecting incumbent Susie Lee's double-digit leads in recent polling averages.** The latest RMG Research survey (October 28-29) shows Lee ahead 52%-41% over Republican challenger Sam Peters, consistent with 538's forecast giving Democrats an 84% win probability. This suburban Las Vegas battleground leans Democratic due to strong performance among Latino voters and independents, bolstered by Lee's incumbency advantage and fundraising edge. Early voting trends reveal higher Democratic mail ballot requests, signaling solid turnout ahead of November 5. No major developments in the past week have narrowed the gap, though national GOP momentum could influence undecideds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus favors a Democratic hold on Nevada's 3rd Congressional District at 79.5%, reflecting incumbent Susie Lee's double-digit leads in recent polling averages.** The latest RMG Research survey (October 28-29) shows Lee ahead 52%-41% over Republican challenger Sam Peters, consistent with 538's forecast giving Democrats an 84% win probability. This suburban Las Vegas battleground leans Democratic due to strong performance among Latino voters and independents, bolstered by Lee's incumbency advantage and fundraising edge. Early voting trends reveal higher Democratic mail ballot requests, signaling solid turnout ahead of November 5. No major developments in the past week have narrowed the gap, though national GOP momentum could influence undecideds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus favors a Democratic hold on Nevada's 3rd Congressional District at 79.5%, reflecting incumbent Susie Lee's double-digit leads in recent polling averages.** The latest RMG Research survey (October 28-29) shows Lee ahead 52%-41% over Republican challenger Sam Peters, consistent with 538's forecast giving Democrats an 84% win probability. This suburban Las Vegas battleground leans Democratic due to strong performance among Latino voters and independents, bolstered by Lee's incumbency advantage and fundraising edge. Early voting trends reveal higher Democratic mail ballot requests, signaling solid turnout ahead of November 5. No major developments in the past week have narrowed the gap, though national GOP momentum could influence undecideds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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