Incumbent Susie Lee maintains a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District race due to her established record in a D+1 partisan voter index seat that has remained under Democratic control since 2018. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, reflecting Lee’s consistent overperformance of the district baseline in prior cycles and her substantial cash-on-hand advantage heading into the November general election. The Republican nominee, Marty O’Donnell, secured his party’s nomination with Trump endorsement and national party support, yet the suburban Las Vegas electorate has shown resilience for the Democratic incumbent in recent midterms. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap include sharp shifts in national generic ballot trends, unusually high Republican turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events within the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于苏茜·李(民主党)
94%
马丁·奥唐纳(共和党)
6%
苏茜·李(民主党)
94%
马丁·奥唐纳(共和党)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Susie Lee maintains a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District race due to her established record in a D+1 partisan voter index seat that has remained under Democratic control since 2018. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, reflecting Lee’s consistent overperformance of the district baseline in prior cycles and her substantial cash-on-hand advantage heading into the November general election. The Republican nominee, Marty O’Donnell, secured his party’s nomination with Trump endorsement and national party support, yet the suburban Las Vegas electorate has shown resilience for the Democratic incumbent in recent midterms. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap include sharp shifts in national generic ballot trends, unusually high Republican turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events within the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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