Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' reelection bid in solidly Republican AL-03, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with a partisan voter index of R+23, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP House winner. Rogers, who won 97.9% in the 2024 general election, faces only token primary opposition from Terri LaPoint before the May 19, 2026, Republican primary, while Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but holds minimal cash-on-hand ($9,462) against Rogers' $2.4 million as of late 2025. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days since qualifying closed January 23. Scenarios like a primary upset, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave could challenge this, though historical precedents favor the incumbent in safe seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,800 交易量
94%
民主党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' reelection bid in solidly Republican AL-03, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with a partisan voter index of R+23, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP House winner. Rogers, who won 97.9% in the 2024 general election, faces only token primary opposition from Terri LaPoint before the May 19, 2026, Republican primary, while Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but holds minimal cash-on-hand ($9,462) against Rogers' $2.4 million as of late 2025. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days since qualifying closed January 23. Scenarios like a primary upset, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave could challenge this, though historical precedents favor the incumbent in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$2,800结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' reelection bid in solidly Republican AL-03, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with a partisan voter index of R+23, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP House winner. Rogers, who won 97.9% in the 2024 general election, faces only token primary opposition from Terri LaPoint before the May 19, 2026, Republican primary, while Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but holds minimal cash-on-hand ($9,462) against Rogers' $2.4 million as of late 2025. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days since qualifying closed January 23. Scenarios like a primary upset, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave could challenge this, though historical precedents favor the incumbent in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,800结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' reelection bid in solidly Republican AL-03, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with a partisan voter index of R+23, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP House winner. Rogers, who won 97.9% in the 2024 general election, faces only token primary opposition from Terri LaPoint before the May 19, 2026, Republican primary, while Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but holds minimal cash-on-hand ($9,462) against Rogers' $2.4 million as of late 2025. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days since qualifying closed January 23. Scenarios like a primary upset, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave could challenge this, though historical precedents favor the incumbent in safe seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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