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Houthis predictions & odds

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Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

47%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$211K today

$188K Liq.

489

Ends in about 1 month

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

75%

<5

$2.1K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

96%

<5

$13.0K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

5%

United Kingdom

$1M Vol.

$51.3K today

$332K Liq.

14

Ends in 12 days

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

29%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

168

Ends in about 1 month

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$35.4K Vol.

$234K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

49%

20+

$501K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

86%

0-10

$324K Vol.

$139K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

44%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$238K today

$235K Liq.

122

Ends in 8 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$18M Vol.

$122K today

$2M Liq.

2

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

45%

$285K Vol.

$52.7K today

$110K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

5%

$16M Vol.

$521K today

$306K Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

31%

$7M Vol.

$242K today

$273K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

62%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$2M today

$312K Liq.

799

Ends in 12 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

75%

$158K Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$379 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

49%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$84.8K Liq.

69

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

94%

$763K Vol.

$81.3K Liq.

64

Ends in about 1 month

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

4%

$482K Vol.

$54.2K today

$81.2K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Houthis.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Houthis that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $90.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 47% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Houthis predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.