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Trump Day 1 predictions & odds

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Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

56%

$42.6K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)

57%

$25 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

79%

December 31

$129 Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump kiss by May 31?

Trump kiss by May 31?

18%

$3.2K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 13 days

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?

14%

June 30

$398K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

26

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?

81%

June 30

$41.7K Vol.

$743 Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

<1%

$334K Vol.

$64.0K today

$39.1K Liq.

14

Ends in 4 days

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

55%

Mark Rutte

$848K Vol.

$122K today

$98.7K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

15%

$9.1K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

49%

May 31

$46.0K Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

92%

Elon Musk

$11.4K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

11%

$15.5K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

17%

$8.7K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

15%

$8.0K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

86%

Giorgia Meloni

$484K Vol.

$128K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?

Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?

10%

$1.2K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

100%

May 15

$2M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

71%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$104K Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

96%

China

$4.0K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

12%

$38.3K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Trump Day 1.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Trump Day 1 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to May 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trump Day 1 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.