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The War And Treaty predictions & odds

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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

7%

December 31

$8M Vol.

$54.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

37

Ends in about 1 month

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 18 - May 24)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 18 - May 24)

88%

Oil

$1.9K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

84%

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine

$39.1K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

8

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

26%

$610K Vol.

$51.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$32.4K Vol.

$248K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

7%

$496K Vol.

$56.6K today

$51.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

31%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$558 Liq.

30

Ends in about 1 month

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

9%

$2M Vol.

$38.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

17%

$476K Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

6%

$33.9K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

13%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

88

Ends in about 1 month

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$678K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

16

Ends in 8 months

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$284K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

16

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

6%

$147K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$593K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

38

Ends in about 1 month

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

6%

$116K Vol.

$33.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

10%

$709K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$92.7K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

20%

$199K Vol.

$41.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like The War And Treaty.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for The War And Treaty that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 7% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on The War And Treaty predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.