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Debt predictions & odds

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Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

23%

$9.9K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

17%

$1.4K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

$14.9K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

92%

$40 trillion

$10.4K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

62%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

57%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

33

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

65%

↑ 700

$231K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

56%

↓ 60

$697K Vol.

$162K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

67%

↓ 500

$110K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

72%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

20%

↑ $3

$635K Vol.

$29.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

79%

↑ $4,800

$205K Vol.

$112K Liq.

2

Ends in 22 days

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

70%

↑ 90,000

$36M Vol.

$173K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

55%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

89%

$170 billion

$83 Vol.

$680 Liq.

1

Ends in 12 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

34%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$542 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

87%

↑ 46

$854K Vol.

$109K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

47%

↓ 4

$37.4K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$122 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$104K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Debt.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Debt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Another US debt downgrade before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $42.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US defaults on debt by 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↓ 85,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Debt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.