Netanyahu out by...?
Politics·Middle East

Netanyahu out by...?

49%

December 31

$53M Vol.

$10M today

$3M Liq.

29

Ends in 10 months

Elon Musk # tweets March 13 - March 20, 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 13 - March 20, 2026?

53%

340-359

$17M Vol.

$5M today

$2M Liq.

2

Ends in about 5 hours

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Politics·Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$867M Vol.

$4M today

$42M Liq.

592

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Politics·Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$432M Vol.

$4M today

$26M Liq.

751

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Politics·Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

37%

J.D. Vance

$440M Vol.

$4M today

$25M Liq.

292

Ends in over 2 years

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Politics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

3%

$43M Vol.

$3M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Fed decision in April?
Politics·Fed

Fed decision in April?

96%

No change

$14M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics·Elections

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

64%

TISZA

$6M Vol.

$2M today

$394K Liq.

67

Ends in 23 days

US x Iran ceasefire by...?
Politics·Iran

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

71%

December 31

$23M Vol.

$2M today

$1M Liq.

534

Paris Mayoral Election
Politics·Elections

Paris Mayoral Election

74%

Emmanuel Grégoire

$20M Vol.

$1M today

$640K Liq.

525

Ends in 11 days

Elon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?

17%

360-379

$4M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics·Elections

Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner

51%

Freedom Movement (GS)

$5M Vol.

$670K today

$465K Liq.

22

Ends in 11 days

Will Trump visit China by...?
Politics·Trump

Will Trump visit China by...?

76%

June 30

$7M Vol.

$657K today

$300K Liq.

312

Ends in about 1 month

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Politics·Aliens

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

17%

December 31

$19M Vol.

$622K today

$2M Liq.

766

Ends in 10 months

Next French Presidential Election
Politics·Elections

Next French Presidential Election

26%

Jordan Bardella

$16M Vol.

$592K today

$2M Liq.

313

Ends in about 1 year

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Elections

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

82%

Chong Won-oh

$6M Vol.

$583K today

$571K Liq.

13

Ends in 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Politics·Ukraine

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

1%

$27M Vol.

$528K today

$451K Liq.

20,361

Ends in 11 days

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Politics·Trump

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

94%

Kevin Warsh

$9M Vol.

$493K today

$1M Liq.

60

Ends in 7 months

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Politics·Iran

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

88%

March 31

$2M Vol.

$425K today

$276K Liq.

30

Ends in 12 days

Elon Musk # tweets March 19 - March 21, 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 19 - March 21, 2026?

44%

90-114

$768K Vol.

$398K today

$149K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Politics.

Polymarket currently hosts 1633 active markets for Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Netanyahu out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Politics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.