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Khamenei
Earn 4%
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Israel Strike Iran
Fed decision in January?
$322m Vol.
$30m today
$14m Liq.
1,369
Ends in 14 days
96%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$182m Vol.
$7m today
$4m Liq.
409
Ends in 12 months
39%
Kevin Warsh
US strikes Iran by...?
$20m Vol.
$6m today
$482k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
76%
June 30
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$473m Vol.
$5m today
$24m Liq.
411
Ends in almost 3 years
34%
Gavin Newsom
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$181m Vol.
$11m Liq.
214
52%
J.D. Vance
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$185m Vol.
$2m today
$13m Liq.
551
27%
JD Vance
Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026?
$8m Vol.
$1m Liq.
Ends in 2 days
18%
460-479
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$6m Vol.
$1m today
113
53%
Delcy Rodríguez
Elon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026?
Ends in 6 days
10%
Portugal Presidential Election
$101m Vol.
$2m Liq.
1,133
Ends in 11 days
66%
António José Seguro (IND)
Elon Musk # tweets January 12 - January 14, 2026?
$1m Vol.
$563k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
64%
90-114
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
$4m Vol.
$939k today
$192k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
12%
Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?
$915k today
$329k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
9%
440-459
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$769k today
335
17%
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
$753k today
$71.2k Liq.
42%
US next strikes Iran on...?
$870k Vol.
$733k today
$200k Liq.
38%
No strike by January 31
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
$2m Vol.
$663k today
$209k Liq.
19
1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
$13m Vol.
$599k today
$610k Liq.
3%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
$445k today
$140k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
41%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$440k today
$129k Liq.
6
50%
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