Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Politics·Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$872M Vol.

$6M today

$45M Liq.

596

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Politics·Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

37%

J.D. Vance

$443M Vol.

$5M today

$27M Liq.

297

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Politics·Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$434M Vol.

$3M today

$25M Liq.

757

Ends in over 2 years

Fed decision in April?
Politics·Fed

Fed decision in April?

95%

No change

$16M Vol.

$3M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Netanyahu out by...?
Politics·Middle East

Netanyahu out by...?

48%

December 31

$55M Vol.

$3M today

$3M Liq.

29

Ends in 9 months

US x Iran ceasefire by...?
Politics·Iran

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

68%

December 31

$26M Vol.

$2M today

$963K Liq.

553

Paris Mayoral Election
Politics·Elections

Paris Mayoral Election

80%

Emmanuel Grégoire

$22M Vol.

$2M today

$724K Liq.

568

Ends in 10 days

Elon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?

17%

360-379

$5M Vol.

$2M today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics·Elections

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

64%

TISZA

$17M Vol.

$1M today

$350K Liq.

69

Ends in 22 days

Elon Musk # tweets March 19 - March 21, 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 19 - March 21, 2026?

60%

90-114

$2M Vol.

$1M today

$607K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Politics·Iran

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

87%

March 31

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$619K Liq.

40

Ends in 11 days

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam
Politics·Elections

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

91%

Lê Minh Hưng

$12M Vol.

$971K today

$269K Liq.

163

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

8%

1320-1359

$3M Vol.

$902K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran leader end of 2026?
Politics·Iran

Iran leader end of 2026?

37%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$4M Vol.

$898K today

$830K Liq.

61

Ends in 9 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?
Politics·Geopolitics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

44%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$2M Vol.

$749K today

$306K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Next French Presidential Election
Politics·Elections

Next French Presidential Election

26%

Jordan Bardella

$16M Vol.

$743K today

$2M Liq.

314

Ends in about 1 year

La Paz Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)
Politics·Elections

La Paz Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)

56%

César Dockweiler

$2M Vol.

$726K today

$101K Liq.

8

Ends in about 18 hours

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Politics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

2%

$43M Vol.

$665K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 10 days

California Governor Election Winner
Politics·Elections

California Governor Election Winner

68%

Eric Swalwell

$3M Vol.

$665K today

$611K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Politics·Elections

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

65%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$1M Vol.

$638K today

$154K Liq.

9

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Politics.

Polymarket currently hosts 1652 active markets for Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Politics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.