US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
≥3.5% 56%
<1.0% 24.1%
2.0–2.5% 29%
3.0–3.5% 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
<1.0%
$1,204 Vol.
24%
<1.0%
$1,204 Vol.
24%
1.0–1.5%
$586 Vol.
3%
1.0–1.5%
$586 Vol.
3%
1.5–2.0%
$3,365 Vol.
13%
1.5–2.0%
$3,365 Vol.
13%
2.0–2.5%
$461 Vol.
9%
2.0–2.5%
$461 Vol.
9%
2.5–3.0%
$593 Vol.
5%
2.5–3.0%
$593 Vol.
5%
3.0–3.5%
$781 Vol.
9%
3.0–3.5%
$781 Vol.
9%
≥3.5%
$1,802 Vol.
56%
≥3.5%
$1,802 Vol.
56%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Created At: Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$8,793End Date
Apr 30, 2026Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
≥3.5% 56%
<1.0% 24.1%
2.0–2.5% 29%
3.0–3.5% 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
<1.0%
$1,204 Vol.
24%
1.0–1.5%
$586 Vol.
3%
1.5–2.0%
$3,365 Vol.
13%
2.0–2.5%
$461 Vol.
9%
2.5–3.0%
$593 Vol.
5%
3.0–3.5%
$781 Vol.
9%
≥3.5%
$1,802 Vol.
56%
About
Volume
$8,793End Date
Apr 30, 2026Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.