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What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

Market icon

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

January 30 100.0%

January 2 <1%

January 3 <1%

January 4 <1%

Polymarket

$1,261,833 Vol.

January 30 100.0%

January 2 <1%

January 3 <1%

January 4 <1%

Polymarket

$1,261,833 Vol.

January 2

$14,033 Vol.

No

January 3

$14,059 Vol.

No

January 4

$13,670 Vol.

No

January 5

$16,475 Vol.

No

January 6

$14,356 Vol.

No

January 7

$26,773 Vol.

No

January 8

$9,659 Vol.

No

January 9

$9,118 Vol.

No

January 10

$12,219 Vol.

No

January 11

$10,778 Vol.

No

January 12

$9,066 Vol.

No

January 13

$8,549 Vol.

No

January 14

$7,504 Vol.

No

January 15

$8,191 Vol.

No

January 16

$14,456 Vol.

No

January 17

$4,825 Vol.

No

January 18

$8,659 Vol.

No

January 19

$14,340 Vol.

No

January 20

$9,523 Vol.

No

January 21

$22,121 Vol.

No

January 22

$9,380 Vol.

No

January 23

$15,535 Vol.

No

January 24

$10,715 Vol.

No

January 25

$10,943 Vol.

No

January 26

$12,178 Vol.

No

January 27

$32,460 Vol.

No

January 28

$23,957 Vol.

No

January 29

$97,044 Vol.

No

January 30

$353,137 Vol.

Yes

January 31

$124,818 Vol.

No

No announcement by Jan 31

$323,292 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made on a listed date, will also resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If no qualifying announcement is made by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by Jan 31”.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.
Volume
$1,261,833
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made on a listed date, will also resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If no qualifying announcement is made by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by Jan 31”. The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "January 30" at 100%, followed by "January 2" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?" is "January 30" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "January 2" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.