Market icon

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

$51,354 Vol.

January 13 15.8%

January 16 16.4%

January 19 19%

No announcement by Jan 31 17%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made on a listed date, will also resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If no qualifying announcement is made by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by Jan 31”.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.
Volume
$51,354
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 2, 2026, 10:39 PM UTC
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$51,354 Vol.

Market icon

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

January 13 15.8%

January 16 16.4%

January 19 19%

No announcement by Jan 31 17%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

January 5

$1,012 Vol.

1%

January 6

$695 Vol.

8%

January 7

$574 Vol.

9%

January 8

$959 Vol.

10%

January 9

$601 Vol.

9%

January 10

$438 Vol.

3%

January 11

$292 Vol.

3%

January 12

$249 Vol.

4%

January 13

$215 Vol.

16%

January 14

$171 Vol.

1%

January 15

$202 Vol.

2%

January 16

$266 Vol.

16%

January 17

$526 Vol.

3%

January 18

$186 Vol.

3%

January 19

$153 Vol.

19%

January 20

$216 Vol.

17%

January 21

$191 Vol.

6%

January 22

$146 Vol.

5%

January 23

$191 Vol.

4%

January 24

$156 Vol.

1%

January 25

$207 Vol.

<1%

January 26

$184 Vol.

3%

January 27

$201 Vol.

20%

January 28

$146 Vol.

3%

January 29

$145 Vol.

7%

January 30

$156 Vol.

9%

January 31

$245 Vol.

3%

No announcement by Jan 31

$868 Vol.

17%

About

Volume
$51,354
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 2, 2026, 10:39 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.