January 30 100.0%
January 2 <1%
January 3 <1%
January 4 <1%
$1,261,833 Vol.
$1,261,833 Vol.
January 2
No
January 3
No
January 4
No
January 5
No
January 6
No
January 7
No
January 8
No
January 9
No
January 10
No
January 11
No
January 12
No
January 13
No
January 14
No
January 15
No
January 16
No
January 17
No
January 18
No
January 19
No
January 20
No
January 21
No
January 22
No
January 23
No
January 24
No
January 25
No
January 26
No
January 27
No
January 28
No
January 29
No
January 30
Yes
January 31
No
No announcement by Jan 31
No
January 30 100.0%
January 2 <1%
January 3 <1%
January 4 <1%
$1,261,833 Vol.
$1,261,833 Vol.
January 2
No
January 3
No
January 4
No
January 5
No
January 6
No
January 7
No
January 8
No
January 9
No
January 10
No
January 11
No
January 12
No
January 13
No
January 14
No
January 15
No
January 16
No
January 17
No
January 18
No
January 19
No
January 20
No
January 21
No
January 22
No
January 23
No
January 24
No
January 25
No
January 26
No
January 27
No
January 28
No
January 29
No
January 30
Yes
January 31
No
No announcement by Jan 31
No
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made on a listed date, will also resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If no qualifying announcement is made by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by Jan 31”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions