Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 45%

Kevin Hassett 36%

Christopher Waller 8.8%

Rick Rieder 6.6%

$192,742,712 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$5,214,464 Vol.
45%

Kevin Hassett
$9,479,616 Vol.
36%

Christopher Waller
$4,188,303 Vol.
9%

Rick Rieder
$3,965,226 Vol.
7%

Scott Bessent
$4,547,413 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$3,832,073 Vol.
1%

Judy Shelton
$4,785,960 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$3,817,087 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$3,217,182 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$5,687,107 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$2,616,364 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,179,988 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,847,883 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$10,844,862 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,908,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,197,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,005,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,127,429 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,908,913 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$6,138,356 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,574,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,598,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,617,189 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,465,446 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$192,742,712

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 45%

Kevin Hassett 36%

Christopher Waller 8.8%

Rick Rieder 6.6%

$192,742,712 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$5,214,464 Vol.

45%

Kevin Hassett

$9,479,616 Vol.

36%

Christopher Waller

$4,188,303 Vol.

Rick Rieder

$3,965,226 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$4,547,413 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$3,832,073 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$4,785,960 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$3,817,087 Vol.

David Malpass

$3,217,182 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$5,687,107 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$2,616,364 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,179,988 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,847,883 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$10,844,862 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,908,202 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,197,600 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,005,671 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,127,429 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,908,913 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,972,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$6,138,356 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,574,254 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,598,791 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,617,189 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,465,446 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$192,742,712

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

46%

Will 57 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

30%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

98%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$5,214,464 Vol.
45%

Kevin Hassett
$9,479,616 Vol.
36%

Christopher Waller
$4,188,303 Vol.
9%

Rick Rieder
$3,965,226 Vol.
7%

Scott Bessent
$4,547,413 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$3,832,073 Vol.
1%

Judy Shelton
$4,785,960 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$3,817,087 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$3,217,182 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$5,687,107 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$2,616,364 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,179,988 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,847,883 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$10,844,862 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,908,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,197,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,005,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,127,429 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,908,913 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$6,138,356 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,574,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,598,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,617,189 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,465,446 Vol.
<1%

Market Context