Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 44%

Kevin Hassett 38%

Christopher Waller 8.2%

Rick Rieder 6.3%

$192,462,008 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$5,187,218 Vol.
44%

Kevin Hassett
$9,462,749 Vol.
38%

Christopher Waller
$4,167,977 Vol.
8%

Rick Rieder
$3,938,797 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$4,525,450 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$3,813,637 Vol.
1%

Judy Shelton
$4,739,997 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$3,789,043 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$3,203,658 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$5,659,153 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$2,595,678 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,178,759 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,847,883 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$10,844,862 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,908,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,197,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,005,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,127,429 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,908,855 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$6,138,356 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,574,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,598,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,617,189 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,461,676 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$192,462,008

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 44%

Kevin Hassett 38%

Christopher Waller 8.2%

Rick Rieder 6.3%

$192,462,008 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$5,187,218 Vol.

44%

Kevin Hassett

$9,462,749 Vol.

38%

Christopher Waller

$4,167,977 Vol.

Rick Rieder

$3,938,797 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$4,525,450 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$3,813,637 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$4,739,997 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$3,789,043 Vol.

David Malpass

$3,203,658 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$5,659,153 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$2,595,678 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,178,759 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,847,883 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$10,844,862 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,908,202 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,197,600 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,005,671 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,127,429 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,908,855 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,972,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$6,138,356 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,574,254 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,598,791 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,617,189 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,461,676 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$192,462,008

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

45%

Will 57 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

30%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

98%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$5,187,218 Vol.
44%

Kevin Hassett
$9,462,749 Vol.
38%

Christopher Waller
$4,167,977 Vol.
8%

Rick Rieder
$3,938,797 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$4,525,450 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$3,813,637 Vol.
1%

Judy Shelton
$4,739,997 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$3,789,043 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$3,203,658 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$5,659,153 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$2,595,678 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,178,759 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,847,883 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$10,844,862 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,908,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,197,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,005,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,127,429 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,908,855 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$6,138,356 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,574,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,598,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,617,189 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,461,676 Vol.
<1%

Market Context