Senator Amy Klobuchar's entry into the open Minnesota gubernatorial race following Governor Tim Walz's January 2026 withdrawal has unified Democrats and propelled trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory, driven by recent polling averages showing her leading likely Republican nominees like House Speaker Lisa Demuth by 12–14 points among likely voters. February surveys from Emerson College and SurveyUSA/KSTP confirm double-digit advantages over a fragmented GOP field including Mike Lindell and Kendall Qualls, amid Demuth's party straw poll win but no clear frontrunner. Minnesota's Democratic-leaning electorate and Klobuchar's strong Senate approval ratings underpin this positioning ahead of the August 11 primaries, though a consolidated Republican nominee, scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow the gap before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$22,463 Vol.
$22,463 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
8%
$22,463 Vol.
$22,463 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$22,463 Vol.
92%
Republican
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Senator Amy Klobuchar's entry into the open Minnesota gubernatorial race following Governor Tim Walz's January 2026 withdrawal has unified Democrats and propelled trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory, driven by recent polling averages showing her leading likely Republican nominees like House Speaker Lisa Demuth by 12–14 points among likely voters. February surveys from Emerson College and SurveyUSA/KSTP confirm double-digit advantages over a fragmented GOP field including Mike Lindell and Kendall Qualls, amid Demuth's party straw poll win but no clear frontrunner. Minnesota's Democratic-leaning electorate and Klobuchar's strong Senate approval ratings underpin this positioning ahead of the August 11 primaries, though a consolidated Republican nominee, scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$22,463End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Senator Amy Klobuchar's entry into the open Minnesota gubernatorial race following Governor Tim Walz's January 2026 withdrawal has unified Democrats and propelled trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory, driven by recent polling averages showing her leading likely Republican nominees like House Speaker Lisa Demuth by 12–14 points among likely voters. February surveys from Emerson College and SurveyUSA/KSTP confirm double-digit advantages over a fragmented GOP field including Mike Lindell and Kendall Qualls, amid Demuth's party straw poll win but no clear frontrunner. Minnesota's Democratic-leaning electorate and Klobuchar's strong Senate approval ratings underpin this positioning ahead of the August 11 primaries, though a consolidated Republican nominee, scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$22,463End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Senator Amy Klobuchar's entry into the open Minnesota gubernatorial race following Governor Tim Walz's January 2026 withdrawal has unified Democrats and propelled trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory, driven by recent polling averages showing her leading likely Republican nominees like House Speaker Lisa Demuth by 12–14 points among likely voters. February surveys from Emerson College and SurveyUSA/KSTP confirm double-digit advantages over a fragmented GOP field including Mike Lindell and Kendall Qualls, amid Demuth's party straw poll win but no clear frontrunner. Minnesota's Democratic-leaning electorate and Klobuchar's strong Senate approval ratings underpin this positioning ahead of the August 11 primaries, though a consolidated Republican nominee, scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow the gap before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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